Chinatrust Commercial Bank CLO 2006-1 Special Purpose
Trust
Analysts: |
Veronica
Lai, CFA
Clementine Kiang
|
This
report does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell securities.
The ratings also do not address the likelihood or timing of prepayment.
Rating
Details
Class
|
Rating
|
Amount
(Mil. NT$)
|
Coupon
Rate
|
Credit
Support (%)
|
Class
A
|
twAAA
|
5,323
|
0%
|
35.66
|
Class
B
|
twAA
|
379
|
0%
|
31.08
|
Class
C
|
twA
|
1,092
|
0%
|
17.88
|
Class
D
|
twBBB-
|
608
|
0%
|
10.53
|
Class
E
|
twBB-p
NRi*
|
316
|
3.1509%
|
6.71
|
*The
rating only addresses the ultimate principal repayment on or before the
legal maturity date.
Profile
Trust:
Chinatrust Commercial Bank Collateralized Loan Obligation 2006-1 (the
Special Purpose Trust (SPT))
Expected
Closing: Jan. 3, 2007
Final
Legal Maturity Date: Jan. 12, 2014
Originator/Account
Bank/Servicer: Chinatrust Commercial Bank (CTCB, twAA/Stable/twA-1,
Standard & Poor's Ratings A-/Positive/A-2)
Trustee/Issuer:
First Commercial Bank Ltd. (FCB, twAA-/Stable/twA-1, Standard & Poor's
Ratings BBB+/Stable/A-2)
Arranger:
CTCB
Rationale
Taiwan
Ratings Corp. assigned its 'twAAA', 'twAA', 'twA', 'twBBB-', and 'twBB-p
NRi' ratings to beneficial certificates of NT$5,323 million, NT$379 million,
NT$1,092 million, NT$608 million, and NT$316 million, respectively, due
2014. The certificates issued by the issuer are backed by a static pool
of NT dollar denominated corporate loans including bilateral and syndicated
loans (the loan portfolio) originated by CTCB.
The
ratings on the senior beneficial certificates of Class A, B, C, and D
address the full and timely payment of interest (before deducting withholding
tax) and ultimate repayment of principal on or before the final legal
maturity date in January 2014. However, the rating on the mezzanine beneficial
certificates of Class E addresses only the full ultimate principal repayment
by the legal maturity date in January 2014. In other words, the interest
on Class E certificates is not rated.
The ratings are based on the following factors:
- ?hThe credit quality
of the loan portfolio;
- ?hThe credit enhancement
provided through the subordination of cash flows to the respective class;
- ?hThe transaction's
cash flow structure, which has been subjected to various stresses requested
by Taiwan Ratings;
- ?hThe experience
of the servicer in managing corporate loans;
- ?hThe legal structure
of the transaction, including the bankruptcy remoteness of the SPT;
- ?hThe supporting
ratings of the bank account provider and the servicer of this transaction.
Strengths,
Concerns, and Mitigating Factors:
Strengths:
- The transaction's
sequential payment structure ensures that the most senior rated certificates
will be paid first;
- Although the last
maturing loan matures in 2012, the final legal maturity of the certificates
is in 2014, providing a tail period of 2 years;
- A liquidity reserve
is replenished from excess interest cash flows;
- Non-amortizing
credit support as the senior tranches pay down;
- The amortizing
feature of the loans results in shorter weighted average loan maturity,
leading to lower credit risk;
- Payment of interest
from the loan portfolio on a monthly basis tends to reduce liquidity
risk.
Concerns
and Mitigating Factors:?h
- Industry
concentration. In terms of outstanding loan balance at closing, the
TFT-LCD industry will account for about 70% of the portfolio. Such concentration
has, however, been taken into account by Standard & Poor's CDO Evaluator
when determining the default threshold that this transaction has to
withstand at various rating levels;
-
Obligor concentration. In terms of outstanding loan balance at closing,
the three largest obligors will account for about 62% of the portfolio.
Such concentration risk has been taken into account by Standard &
Poor's CDO Evaluator;
- Interest
rate risk. Interest rate risk will arise from the several different
interest rate indices applied to the underlying loans because the transaction
will not use interest rate swaps. The interest income from the corporate
loans may not be sufficient to pay senior fees and senior expenses,
especially when the majority of loans have amortized. The associated
risk is mitigated by: 1) stressing the interest rate indices in the
cash flow modeling test; 2) matching the payment frequency between assets
and liabilities; and 3) replenishing the cash reserve from excess spread
to the minimum cash reserve amount.
Transaction
Overview
At
closing, CTCB entrusted the loan portfolio consisting of 61 NT dollar
denominated bilateral and syndicated corporate loans. FCB as the trustee
accepted the entrustment on behalf of the trust and issued senior beneficial
certificates, mezzanine beneficial certificates, and subordinated beneficial
certificates. The senior certificates are publicly placed to investors,
whereas the mezzanine and subordinated certificates are privately placed.
Terms
and Conditions of the Notes
Interest
payment
The
senior beneficial certificates have a stipulated coupon rate of 0%. The
mezzanine beneficial certificates will pay fixed rate coupon in arrears
on a monthly basis, which is not rated. In addition, the subordinated
beneficial certificates are further divided into two classes, one of which
will bear a stipulated coupon rate and the other will be entitled to residual
interest collection, if any.
Principal
payment
The
transaction is structured as a pass-through transaction on each payment
date. The principal proceeds from loan repayment, prepayment, and originator
buyback will be used to repay the trust certificates as they are received
by the SPT. The excess interest collection in the interest waterfall,
provided that no acceleration redemption event or trust termination event
occurs, will be used to pay off the subordinated certificates of Class
G up to the difference between par value and purchase price at closing.
Otherwise, the principal of the subordinated certificates will only be
paid after senior and mezzanine certificates have been fully redeemed.
The
Loan Portfolio
The
collateral with a par value of NT$8.27 billion consists of a portfolio
of 16 Taiwan obligors with 61 NT dollar denominated loans. The majority
of the loan portfolio is syndicated, secured loans. All of the loans are
senior debts with amortizing schedules and monthly interest payment frequency
set before closing.
The
loan portfolio covers a number of industries, including but not limited
to building and development, conglomerates, electronics, telecommunications,
TFT-LCD, and PCB. Obligors are highly concentrated in the TFT-LCD industry,
accounting for 70% of the loan portfolio, followed by conglomerates (10%).
The top three obligors, which represent 62% of the portfolio, are in the
TFT-LCD industry, while the top five obligors represent 79%.
Credit
and Cashflow Analysis
Since
most of the obligors are not publicly rated, Taiwan Ratings has performed
credit assessments on all unrated obligors in order to determine their
credit quality.
Standard
& Poor's CDO Evaluator was utilized to determine the expected default
rate for the portfolio at each rating level. Through a Monte-Carlo simulation,
the CDO Evaluator factors the probability of individual obligor default,
obligor and industry concentration, industry correlations, loan size,
as well as the maturity of each loan, and computes the expected level
of default that a CDO tranche must be able to withstand at a given rating
level.
In
addition, to verify that ultimate repayment of principal on the senior
and mezzanine certificates can be met, Taiwan Ratings has performed cash
flow analysis under a variety of stress scenarios.
The following elements were taken into account in the cash flow modeling
to capture the specifics of the transaction:
- Moderate recovery
rates were assumed for corporate loans. Recovery rates were reviewed
and adjusted by Taiwan Ratings case by case mainly based upon the type
and value of collateral and the recovery experience of the originator.
Recoveries were modeled with adequate time for workout after default.
- Various default
patterns were applied in order to address obligor concentration risk,
obligor credit risk, and yield sufficiency.
- Downward stressed
interest rate scenario on the corporate loans, along with scenario default
rate for each rated tranche, is applied to size necessary credit enhancement.
Structural
Analysis
Commingling
risk
The servicer's commingling risk is limited, as the servicer is required
to deposit the collections in designated trust accounts within two business
days of receipt. In addition, a servicer termination event will be triggered
upon the downgrade of the servicer's rating to 'twA' or below.
The commingling risk with regard to security agent banks for syndicated
loans is also limited to the extent that most of them are highly rated
and the amount of exposure is small compared with the transaction's rating.
Set-off
risk
The originator's agreement to deposit the set-off amount, which is claimed
by obligors against either the SPT or the originator, in the trust account
within two business days after notice mitigates obligor set-off risk.
Therefore, the mitigation for set-off risk will be measured by the originator's
ability to pay the set-off amount. Since certificate holders will be relying
on the originator to mitigate this risk, the ratings of outstanding tranches
will be capped by the originator's rating after it is downgraded to a
certain rating level.
Prepayment
risk
Obligors are allowed to prepay according to individual loan agreements.
If the principal portion of prepayment exceeds NT$10 million, the trustee
is required to pass it through the principal waterfall to certificate
holders four business days after receipt or on the next trust payment
date, whichever is earlier. The interest portion will be distributed later
on the next trust payment date. Therefore, the negative carry risk arising
from loan prepayment is very limited due to the NT$10 million threshold
and the frequency of the trust payments.
Liquidity
risk
The liquidity risk for taxes, senior fees, and senior expenses is limited
due to the amortizing feature of corporate loans, the payment frequency
match between liabilities and assets, and the adequately sized minimum
cash reserve to be replenished from excess spread.
Servicing
transition risk
A backup servicer mechanism does not exist in the transaction. The trustee
will have a 30-day period to appoint a replacement servicer after the
servicer termination event happens. In the event that a replacement servicer
is not found, the trustee will need to take over the role. The risk is
mitigated by the cash reserve to be replenished from excess spread after
closing.
Further
funding obligation
In a few of the syndicated loan agreements, all the syndicated banks are
obligated to make further funding to the relevant obligors if more than
50% of the syndicated banks agree to increase the commitment amount. Although
the drawdown period of these agreements has past, since the originator
will transfer both rights and obligations under the relevant loan agreements
to the SPT at closing, the SPT may be required to make further funding
to the relevant obligors if a majority of banks votes in favor.
However, the risk relating to further funding obligation is remote because:
1) the originator has agreed to undertake the funding obligations by using
its own funds under the originator's name to fund the relevant obligors;
and 2) there is an indemnity clause in the trust agreement to the effect
that the originator will indemnify the trustee if it fails to perform
the funding obligations.
Distribution
of payments among different facilities
At closing, the originator will transfer certain but not all facilities
under a syndicated loan agreement to the SPT. Some loan agreements do
provide that any payment should be distributed to all lenders in proportion
to their outstanding amount, but they do not provide that the "pro
rata" principle should also be used among different facilities. Therefore,
certificate holders are exposed to the risk that loans being transferred
happen to be in a facility that is not paid first by the facility bank,
which has the discretion to decide the payment distribution among facilities
when the sums received are insufficient to pay all due in all facilities
under the same loan agreement.
Under the abovementioned circumstances, the loans will default and all
the principal repayments will be viewed as recovery to the defaulted loans.
At that time, the recovery assumption will be reviewed again to assess
if rating action needs to be taken.
Legal
and Tax Analysis
Prior
to assigning the final ratings and the closing of the transaction, Taiwan
Ratings has received satisfactory legal and tax opinions.
Surveillance
After the closing
date, continuous surveillance will be maintained on the transaction until
all rated beneficial certificates have been fully redeemed. The loan portfolio's
credit quality as well as all supporting ratings will be monitored to
make sure that the ratings on the certificates reflect the credit risk
undertaken by investors.
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