Presale : Polaris Securities Co.
Ltd. and Bank of Overseas Chinese Corporate Bond Securitization Special
Purpose Trust 2006-1
Analysts: |
Joseph
Cheng
Clementine Kiang
|
This presale report
is based on information as of April 13, 2006. The ratings shown are preliminary.
This report does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell
securities. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings
Rating
Details
Senior
Certificates:
|
Preliminary
Ratings*
|
Amount
(NT$ mil.)
|
Annual
Coupon Rate (%)
|
Credit
Support (%)
|
Class
A-1
|
twAAA
|
7,150
|
2.08
|
41.51
|
Class
A-2
|
twAAA
|
1,785
|
2.30
|
26.91
|
Class
B
|
twAA
|
1,080
|
2.32
|
18.08
|
Class
C
|
twA
|
1,090
|
2.35
|
9.16
|
Class
D
|
twBBB
|
570
|
2.45
|
4.50
|
* The rating of each
class of certificates is preliminary and subject to change at any time.
Profile
Issuer: The
Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corp. Ltd, Taipei Branch (HSBC Taipei)
(AA-/Stable/A-1+) as Trustee for Polaris Securities Co. Ltd. (PSC) (twA-/Stable/twA-2)
and Bank of Overseas Chinese (BOCC) (twBBB/Stable/twA-3) Corporate Bond
Securitization Special Purpose Trust 2006-1 (the SPT).
Issue: NT$12.225 billion senior and subordinated trust beneficial
certificates due in 2013 and NT$50 million seller certificates.
Closing date: April 18, 2006.
Trustee/Servicer: HSBC Taipei.
Trustor/Originator: PSC as New Taiwan dollar (NTD) asset originator;
BOCC as U.S. dollar (USD) asset originator.
Rating Dependent: Account Bank, SWAP counterparties (including
those of Cross Currency SWAP (CCS) and Credit Default SWAP (CDS) under
Synthetic Collateralized Debt Obligation (SCDO)), collateral security
under the SCDO.
Rationale
Taiwan Ratings Corp.
assigns its 'twAAA', 'twAAA', 'twAA', 'twA', and 'twBBB' preliminary ratings
to senior trust beneficial certificates of NT$7,150 million, NT$1,785
million, NT$1,080 million, NT$1,090 million, and NT$570 million, respectively,
all due in 2013. The certificates will be issued by HSBC Taipei in the
capacity of Trustee for the SPT. The preliminary ratings address the timely
payment of interest and full ultimate repayment of principal on or before
the senior certificates' legal maturity date in 2013. The trust certificates
are backed by a static pool of NTD corporate bonds (the NTD bond portfolio)
and USD SCDO (together, the bond portfolio).
The ratings reflect:
- The credit quality
of the portfolio;
- The level of credit
support for each tranche of senior certificates provided by subordinated
certificates and equity certificate;
- The establishment
of a cash liquidity reserve at closing;
- Various cash flow
runs for each tranche proving the structure's ability to achieve timely
payment of interest and ultimate repayment of principal by the final
legal maturity date;
- The existence
of trigger events;
- Credit assessment
result of the SCDO;
- The ratings of
the supporting parties such as bank account providers, CCS and CDS provider,
eligible investments, and SCDO collateral security;
- The CCS, which
appropriately hedges the basis as well as foreign exchange risk;
- Satisfactory legal
and tax opinions; and
- The bankruptcy
remoteness of the SPT.
Strengths,
Concerns and Mitigating Factors:
Strengths
- The transaction's
sequential payment structure ensures that the most senior rated certificates
will be repaid in full before any proceed may be used to redeem the
junior classes of certificates;
- Over half of the
bonds will mature within three years;
- A tail period
between the last maturity date of the pool and the final legal maturity
date of the certificates ensures sufficient time to work out defaulted
bonds;
- Excess spread
will either be trapped at liquidity reserve or at collection account.
No payment will be made to equity holders before full redemption of
senior Trust Certificates (TCs); and
- Non-amortizing
credit support results in increasing amounts of credit support as more
senior tranches are paid down.
Concerns
- Concentration
of pool assets among several issuers and industries; and
- Low pool yield.
Mitigating Factors
- Standard &
Poor's CDO EvaluatorTM takes the concentration issue into consideration
when performing credit sizing;
- A cash liquidity
reserve will be set aside at closing to compensate for insufficient
yield. Taiwan Ratings has performed various cash flow tests to ensure
the sufficiency of the reserve throughout the life of the transaction.
Transaction
Overview
At closing, PSC and BOOC will entrust the bond portfolio consisting of
28 NTD denominated bonds and 1 USD denominated SCDO to the SPT. HSBC Taipei
as the Trustee should in turn issue three types of certificates, namely
senior trust beneficial certificates, subordinated trust beneficial certificates,
and seller certificates. The senior beneficial certificates will be placed
to investors by public offering and the proceeds therefrom paid to the
Originators. The subordinated beneficial certificates as well as the seller
certificates will be privately placed.
Terms
of the Certificates
The senior trust beneficial certificate holders will receive fixed-rate
coupon payments at the rate specified on the indenture. The subordinated
trust beneficial certificates will not receive any payment until all senior
beneficial certificates are fully redeemed. The seller certificate holders
will only receive interest collection from certain NTD bonds specified
on the indenture. Both the subordinated trust beneficial certificates
and the seller certificates are non-rated. Except for the first interest
payment, all payments with respect to trust certificates will be made
on a semi-annual basis while payments to seller certificates will be made
on a monthly basis. Except for those interest collections that will be
directed to seller certificates, all principal and interest (P&I)
collection will be pooled together and distributed to investors following
the stipulated waterfall. When there is any shortage with respect to senior
fees and senior beneficial certificate coupon payments, as P&I are
pooled together, the principal collection will initially be used to cover
the shortage on a temporary basis. If there is any remaining shortage,
the cash liquidity reserve will be used, again on a temporary basis.
Article 41 of the
Financial Asset Securitization Law stipulates that income from trust property,
after deduction of costs and necessary expenses, belongs to the beneficiaries.
The interest distribution, however, will be subject to withholding tax
at the rate stipulated by the tax authority. Consequently, interest received
by certificate holders will be net of tax withheld.
In addition to the
tax abovementioned, the interest payment will also be net of remit expenses.
Before the acceleration
event is triggered, trust certificates will be paid down following the
principal amortization schedule. Principal collection in excess of the
schedule payment will be trapped in a principal reserve account. Upon
occurrence of the acceleration event, principal payment will be changed
to pass-through basis and all proceeds sitting in the principal reserve
account will be used to pay down trust certificates. Subordinated trust
beneficial certificates will not receive any payment until all senior
beneficial certificates have been fully redeemed. Principal payment, naturally,
will not be subject to withholding tax. If the amount sitting in the reserve
account along with cash collection is sufficient to redeem Class D at
its expected maturity day, all cash reserves will be pooled into the waterfall.
Otherwise, the cash reserve will be saved to cover the SPT's obligation
until the arrival of final legal maturity date.
The
Bond Portfolio
The asset pool will be static, i.e. the Originators cannot entrust new
bonds to the SPT nor can any third party substitute any existing bonds
after closing date. The reference pool of the SCDO will also be static.
As of the expected closing date, 29 bonds will be included in the portfolio.
About 21% of the pool balance is composed of NTD plain vanilla fixed rate
corporate bonds, 39% is of NTD structured notes (inverse floaters and
range accruals), and 40% is of USD SCDO.
The NTD bond portfolio
will be concentrated in Taiwan's financial services industry, given that
a large portion of the non-bank corporate bonds are guaranteed by banks.
Meanwhile, about 20% of the total pool balance is concentrated on two
obligors. The concentration with respect to the SCDO is somewhat mitigated
by its partial write down feature. The pool's weighted average yield and
weighted average maturity is about 1.63% and 3.15 years, respectively.
All the abovementioned features have been incorporated into Taiwan Ratings'
analysis in deciding required credit support for each rating level.
Credit
Assessment on the SCDO
As it is not rated by Taiwan Ratings or Standard & Poor's, Taiwan
Ratings has performed credit assessment on the SCDO. Credit sizing on
the CBO is based on the results of Taiwan Ratings' credit assessment.
As with other bonds in the pool, continuous surveillance will also be
performed on the SCDO by Taiwan Ratings to ensure the credit quality of
the SCDO is commensurate with that of the trust certificates. The credit
assessment may not be consistent with the ratings assigned by other rating
agencies. The collateral security and CDS counterparty of the SCDO will
be hard-linked to the CBO, i.e. if the collateral security is downgraded
below a certain level and the SCDO administrator does not replace it with
new collateral security that complies with the investment criteria, the
CBO will be downgraded accordingly. Downgrade of the CDS counterparty
might also trigger the downgrade of the CBO.
Investors should note
that, upon the occurrence of a tax event, the counterparty will have the
option to terminate the CDS and the SCDO will be early redeemed. Taiwan
Ratings will need to receive satisfactory legal opinions indicating no
such tax event is occurring and continuing as of the closing day.
Credit
and Cash Flow Analysis
The majority of the underlying issuers are rated by Taiwan Ratings and/or
Standard and Poor's. Taiwan Ratings has performed credit assessment on
those un-rated obligors. The ratings along with obligor and industry information,
size, and maturities are then incorporated into Standard & Poor's
CDO EvaluatorTM to determine the default risk of the bond portfolio. CDO
EvaluatorTM applies the Monte-Carlo methodology to integrate all abovementioned
factors in determining the maximum level of defaults that a CDO class
must be able to withstand at a given rating level. To give credit to the
partial write-down feature of the SCDO, drill down approach is used for
the credit sizing. Instead of relying on the SCDO's rating, drill down
approach takes the rating and industry distribution, as well as information
such as maturity date, notional amount, and country and region information
of the reference entities of the SCDO into consideration. The impact of
the credit quality of the SCDO itself is reflected through the attachment
and detachment points in the drill down approach.
Furthermore, Taiwan
Ratings has performed cash flow analysis under various stress scenarios
to verify the prompt interest payment and ultimate principal repayment
of the senior beneficial certificates. Capped breakage cost of the CCS
due to credit event(s) of reference entity(-ies) under the SCDO will rank
junior to interest but senior to principal payments. Taiwan Ratings has
sized in this cost into the cash flow runs.
Structural
Analysis
Commingling
risk.
Commingling risk is fairly remote with this transaction. The majority
of the payments will be remitted directly to the trust accounts. Under
rare occasions when proceeds are collected by the servicer, the servicer
will be required to remit the collection to the Trust account within the
same business day. The trustee will be responsible for defaulted bonds'
workout and will deposit any recovery proceeds directly into the trust
accounts.
Obligor set-off
risk.
Set-off risk is very remote with this transaction. As PSC is a securities
house, it is highly unlikely that debt relationships exist between PSC
and the obligors and will grant set-off rights to the obligors. In addition,
although the USD asset originator BOOC is a deposit taking bank, as the
SCDO is issued by an offshore issuer, it is highly unlikely that any debt
obligation exists between BOOC and the SCDO issuer. As such, set-off risk
is very remote and is somewhat mitigated by the originator's representation
and warranty.
Interest and
Exchange rate risk.
There exist interest reference rate as well as payment currency mismatches
between the SCDO and the trust certificates. Nevertheless, the trustee
will enter into a CCS at closing day to hedge these risks. All settlement
will take place before each trust certificate payment date. The SWAP counterparty
complies with Taiwan Ratings' requirements. Investors need to be aware
that when the trustee signing the CCS ceases to be trustee of the SPT
and a successor trustee cannot be found, the CCS counterparty will have
the option to terminate the CCS, which will expose investors to exchange
rate and basis risks.
Prepayment risk.
All bonds are non-prepayable. Any prepayment will be regarded as default
and all proceeds will be passed through to certificate holders. Nevertheless,
upon the occurrence of tax event, the SCDO might be wound down and prepaid.
Overall, prepayment risk is fairly limited with this transaction.
Negative Carry
Risk.
Before the occurrence of the acceleration event, TCs will be redeemed
on a control amortization basis. Some negative carry might arise due to
this mechanism. The effect, nevertheless, has been sized into credit support
and cash reserve when running cash flow runs.
Liquidity risk.
Interest for each collection period will be collected before each payment
date. Nevertheless, the pool's yield is relatively tight. When underlying
bonds is in arrear or default, it is likely that interest collection will
not be sufficient to fulfill the SPT's obligations for all periods. As
a result, a cash reserve will be set aside at closing to cover the potential
shortage at each payment day.
Legal
Analysis
The transaction will be structured in accordance with the Financial Asset
Securitization Law of Taiwan, which provides for the establishment of
the SPT, the perfected transfer of assets from the originator to the SPT,
and protection from other creditors' and third parties' claims. Taiwan
Ratings will need to receive satisfactory legal and tax opinions, including
those for the SCDO, prior to the closing of the transaction.
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