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Analysis - Contingent Liability Estimates
|
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Contingent
Liability Estimates |
|
|
|
|
Estimated
contingent liabilities |
|
Long-term
ratings |
Per
capita income |
Credit
to the private sector and NFPEs |
Lower
bound |
Upper
bound |
General
government debt/GDP |
|
Foreign
currency/local currency |
(‘000s.
US$) |
(%
of GDP) |
(%
of GDP) |
(%
of GDP) |
|
|
—Year
ended 1999— |
5%-15% |
Australia |
AA+/AAA |
21,220 |
92 |
5 |
14 |
31 |
Belgium |
AA+/AA+ |
25,629 |
82 |
4 |
12 |
111 |
Canada |
AA+ /AAA |
20,598 |
88 |
4 |
13 |
87 |
Denmark |
AA+/AAA |
32,590 |
116 |
6 |
17 |
57 |
France |
AAA/AAA |
25,146 |
78 |
4 |
12 |
61 |
Germany |
AAA/AAA |
26,295 |
119 |
6 |
18 |
63 |
Luxembourg |
AAA/AAA |
41,186 |
100 |
5 |
15 |
6 |
Netherlands |
AAA/AAA |
23,602 |
131 |
7 |
20 |
64 |
Sweden |
AA+/AAA |
25,502 |
106 |
5 |
16 |
66 |
Switzerland |
AAA/AAA |
34,601 |
174 |
9 |
26 |
53 |
United
Kingdom |
AAA/AAA |
24,071 |
124 |
6 |
19 |
49 |
United
States |
AAA/AAA |
32,609 |
142 |
7 |
21 |
55 |
10%-20% |
Austria |
AAA/AAA |
25,351 |
100 |
10 |
20 |
65 |
Chile |
A-/AA |
4,665 |
65 |
7 |
13 |
30 |
Finland |
AA+/AA+ |
26,028 |
55 |
5 |
11 |
47 |
Hong
Kong |
A/A+ |
24,767 |
160 |
16 |
32 |
8 |
Ireland |
AA+/AA+ |
25,210 |
92 |
9 |
18 |
50 |
Italy |
AA/AA |
19,252 |
72 |
7 |
14 |
115 |
New
Zealand |
AA+/AAA |
14,069 |
117 |
12 |
23 |
36 |
Norway |
AAA/AAA |
34,684 |
100 |
10 |
20 |
30 |
Portugal |
AA/AA |
11,117 |
125 |
12 |
25 |
57 |
Singapore |
AAA/AAA |
26,458 |
115 |
12 |
23 |
99 |
South
Africa |
BBB-/A- |
3,026 |
70 |
7 |
14 |
51 |
Spain |
AA+/AA+ |
14,268 |
95 |
9 |
19 |
65 |
Taiwan |
AA+/AA+ |
12,872 |
154 |
15 |
31 |
32 |
15%-30% |
Argentina |
BB/BBB- |
7,864 |
24 |
4 |
7 |
49 |
Colombia |
BB/BBB |
1,915 |
38 |
6 |
11 |
35 |
Estonia |
BBB+/A- |
3,492 |
27 |
4 |
8 |
15 |
Hungary |
BBB+/A |
4,849 |
25 |
4 |
8 |
61 |
Israel |
A-/AA- |
16,350 |
84 |
13 |
25 |
103 |
Japan |
AAA/AAA |
34,382 |
196 |
29 |
59 |
145 |
Panama |
BB+/BB+ |
3,416 |
116 |
17 |
35 |
79 |
Philippines |
BB+/BBB+ |
942 |
48 |
7 |
15 |
73 |
Poland |
BBB+/A+ |
3,983 |
33 |
5 |
10 |
45 |
Slovenia |
A/AA |
9,930 |
37 |
6 |
11 |
36 |
Uruguay |
BBB-/BBB+ |
6,027 |
40 |
6 |
12 |
45 |
25%-40% |
Bolivia |
BB-/BB+ |
1,080 |
61 |
15 |
24 |
76 |
Brazil |
B+/BB |
3,644 |
32 |
8 |
13 |
77 |
Croatia |
BBB-/BBB+ |
4,262 |
40 |
10 |
16 |
29 |
Cyprus |
A/AA- |
15,194 |
107 |
27 |
43 |
62 |
Greece |
A-/A- |
11,641 |
46 |
12 |
18 |
104 |
Korea |
BBB/A |
8,715 |
150 |
38 |
60 |
50 |
Kuwait |
A/A+ |
13,865 |
66 |
16 |
26 |
57 |
Lebanon |
BB-/BB |
4,003 |
85 |
21 |
34 |
129 |
Malaysia |
BBB/A |
3,474 |
144 |
36 |
58 |
37 |
Morocco |
BB/BBB |
1,229 |
54 |
14 |
22 |
101 |
Oman |
BBB-/BBB |
6,865 |
46 |
12 |
19 |
32 |
Peru |
BB/BBB- |
2,309 |
26 |
6 |
10 |
38 |
Saudi
Arabia |
N.R./N.R. |
6,420 |
72 |
18 |
29 |
N.A. |
U.A.E. |
N.R./N.R. |
16,442 |
69 |
17 |
27 |
N.A. |
35%-70% |
Bulgaria |
B+/BB- |
1,462 |
18 |
1 |
3 |
88 |
China |
BBB/N.R. |
813 |
118 |
41 |
82 |
18 |
Czech
Republic |
A-/AA- |
5,551 |
62 |
22 |
44 |
17 |
Egypt |
BBB-/A- |
1,375 |
75 |
26 |
52 |
94 |
India |
BB/BBB |
474 |
23 |
8 |
16 |
65 |
Indonesia |
SD/B- |
642 |
21 |
7 |
15 |
110 |
Kazakstan |
B+/BB- |
1,063 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
26 |
Latvia |
BBB/A- |
2,712 |
16 |
6 |
11 |
17 |
Lithuania |
BBB-/BBB+ |
2,871 |
14 |
5 |
10 |
28 |
Mexico |
BB+/BBB+ |
4,309 |
17 |
6 |
12 |
33 |
Pakistan |
B-/B+ |
423 |
27 |
10 |
19 |
95 |
Romania |
B-/B |
1,362 |
11 |
4 |
8 |
27 |
Russia |
SD/CCC+ |
1,245 |
13 |
4 |
9 |
112 |
Slovak
Republic |
BB+/BBB+ |
3,543 |
57 |
20 |
40 |
37 |
Thailand |
BBB-/A- |
2,053 |
117 |
41 |
82 |
25 |
Tunisia |
BBB/A |
2,183 |
65 |
23 |
45 |
72 |
Turkey |
B+/B |
2,949 |
22 |
8 |
15 |
62 |
Venezuela |
B/N.R. |
4,292 |
13 |
4 |
9 |
40 |
NFPEs-Nonfinancial
public enterprises. SD-Selctive default. N.R.-Not rated. N.A.-Not available. |